基于灰色理论的矿井自然发火预测模型及应用  

A Forecast Model of Coal Spontaneous Combustion Based on Gray Theory and Its Application

作　　者：张丑宏 

机构地区：[1]西山煤矿总公司,山西太原030053

出　　处：《山西煤炭》2006年第2期33-35,共3页Shanxi Coal

基　　金：山西省科技攻关资助项目(982092)

摘　　要：指出了矿井自然发火及其预测对安全生产的重要性。应用灰色系统建立了时间序列的自然发火预测模型,提高了自然发火预测的精度。实际应用表明该预测模型的预测精度较高,具有较大的理论意义和应用价值。The importance of mine spontaneous combustion and its forecast for safe production in coal mines was described. A forecast model of the coal spontaneous combustion in mine concerned the time sequences was established based on gray theory. The model overcomed the shortages of the traditional forecast methods, and increased the forecast veracity of the mine spontaneous combustion.

关 键 词：灰色理论 自然发火 预测模型 

分 类 号：TD752.1[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]