河北省宏观经济景气分析与预警系统研究  

The Macro-economic Cycles Analysis and Warning System of Hebei Province

作　　者：孟亮[1] 孙丹[2] 冯文斌[2] 高亮[3] 

机构地区：[1]北京航空航天大学理学院,北京100083 [2]河北省经济信息中心经济预测处,石家庄050051 [3]北京大学光华管理学院,北京100871

出　　处：《价值工程》2006年第8期39-43,共5页Value Engineering

摘　　要：本文介绍了开发研制河北省宏观经济景气分析与预警系统的全过程。包括景气预警的理论方法,数据准备,景气体系的构建,预警系统的形成以及各阶段的成果等内容。为全面了解掌握省级单位构建景气预警系统工作做了较详细地论述。This paper presents the whole process of developing the macro-economic cycles analysis and warning system of Hebei province, including theory of economic cycles analysis, the data preparing, the constructing of cycles analysis system, the forming of warning system, the results obtained in every phase and so on. In order to construct the economic cycles and warning system at provincial level, the specific discussion is offered in this paper.

关 键 词：景气分析 预警系统 

分 类 号：F201[经济管理—国民经济]