闽北地区四代三化螟发生动态Fuzzy预测模型研究  

Fuzzy forecasting models on population dynamics of the fourth generation of Scirpophaga incertulas(Walker) in northern area of Fujian Province

作　　者：倪炳卿 林永俊 

机构地区：[1]福建省将乐县农业局,353300 [2]福建省将乐一中,353300

出　　处：《昆虫知识》1996年第5期257-261,共5页Entomological Knowledge

摘　　要：根据Fuzzy数学原理和三化螟生物学特性，组建了四代三化螟发生动态综合预测模型经对福建省将乐县16年四代三化螟发生期、发生量回报及1995年的预报，拟合率及正确率均达100％。Based on Fuzzy mathematical methods and biological charecteristics of Scirpophaga incertulas (Walker)the population forecasting models of the forth generation of this pest are proposed. The predicting results including interpolation and extrapolation are reached 100%.

关 键 词：三化暝 发生动态 综合预测模型 模糊数学 

分 类 号：S435.112.1[农业科学—农业昆虫与害虫防治]