城市车用天然气供需均衡仿真分析  

Simulation on supply-demand balance of natural gas used for urban automobile

作　　者：孙静春[1] 何立峰[1] 袁治平[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学管理学院,陕西西安710049

出　　处：《系统工程学报》2006年第4期414-418,共5页Journal of Systems Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(G0222208)

摘　　要：在城市加气站和燃气汽车互动发展的过程中,加气站经营者和燃气汽车运营者是两个经济行为主体.通过构建供需模型并采用蒙特卡洛法,以西安市出租车司机的调研数据为基础进行模拟仿真.主要分析了加气站工作效率和出租车行驶里程对供需数量的影响,以及对供需均衡的影响程度.仿真结果表明,加气站和燃气汽车的运营状况很大程度上影响燃气的供需均衡.In the course of the mutual development of gas station and gas automobile, gas station operator and drivers are main economy behavior parts. Through structuring the supply and demand model and adopting Monte Carlo method, the paper has done some simulation using the data obtained from investigating taxi drivers in Xi＇ an. The influences of the working efficiency of gas station and distance traveled by the taxi on the supply and demand quantity, and on the balance of supply and demand, are analyzed in this paper. The simulation result indicates that running states of gas station and drivers influence the gas supply and demand balance to a great degree.

关 键 词：车用天然气 供需量 蒙特卡洛仿真 

分 类 号：F570.71[经济管理—产业经济]