山东省区域经济增长趋同研究  

A STUDY ON REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH CONVERGENCE OF SHANDONG PROVINCE

作　　者：刘春艳[1] 穆新伟[2] 刘淑娟[1] 

机构地区：[1]山东师范大学人口.资源与环境学院,济南250014 [2]山东师范大学图书馆,济南250014

出　　处：《山东师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2006年第3期110-112,共3页Journal of Shandong Normal University(Natural Science)

基　　金：山东省"十一五"规划前期招标课题资助项目(A200407)

摘　　要：对1978—2004年间山东省区域经济增长过程进行δ趋同β卢趋同分析，发现二者具有同步一致性．但在整个时间段内，经济增长趋势不同，表现为：1978—1990年区域经济增长发生δ趋同和β趋同，趋同速度为1．76％；1991-2004年未发生δ趋同，β趋同系数也为正值，表明差异增大．针对1991—2004年的差异，采用人均GDP指标，运用空间自相关法对1991和2003年山东省121个县市区进行俱乐部趋同分析．By analysis on the process of regional economic growth in Shandong province during 1978 and 2004, the paper tries to find whether there was δ orβ convergence, and finds both were consistent eventually. While in the whole process of 1978 - 2004, the tendency of regional economic growth was different, and can be divided into two phases of 1978- 1990 and 1991 -2004. There was δ andβ convergence from 1978 to 1990, and the rate was 1.76% ; there was not δ convergence from 1991 to 2004, and the β index was positive during this period, which means to appear divergence. At last, the paper adopts Spatial Autoeorrelation to analyze the tendence of the club convergence of 121 counties in Shandong Province based on per- GDP from 1991 to 2004.

关 键 词：区域经济增长 δ趋同 Β趋同 俱乐部趋同 山东 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]