基于模糊模拟的AHP在风险投资项目评价中的应用  

Application of the Analytic Hierarchy Process Based on Fuzzy Simulation in the Evaluation of Venture Investment Projects

作　　者：赵振武[1] 唐万生[2] 宁玉富[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国民航学院安全学院,天津300300 [2]天津大学管理学院,天津300072

出　　处：《模糊系统与数学》2006年第4期128-133,共6页Fuzzy Systems and Mathematics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70171004)

摘　　要：利用基于模糊模拟的层次分析法评价风险投资项目,其中评价因素和评价因素的权重用模糊变量代替,利用模糊模拟技术处理评价模型,计算投资项目的期望值,这样可以弥补传统的层次分析法的缺点。最后,运用基于模糊模拟的层次分析法对三个风险投资项目进行评价。The analytic hierarchy process based on fuzzy simulation （FSAHP） is applied to evaluate the venture investment projects. The performance and weights of evaluation factors are represented by the fuzzy variable. Fuzzy simulation is employed to dispose of the evaluation model and compute the expected values of the project. Then the shortcoming of the traditional AHP is made up. Finally, the model is utilized to assess three venture investment proiects.

关 键 词：模糊变量 模糊模拟 AHP 风险投资 

分 类 号：F830[经济管理—金融学]