灰色系统理论在芦苇产量预测中的应用  

Application of Grey System Theory to Prediction of Reed Yield

作　　者：张宇飞[1] 李顺初[1] 郑鹏社[1] 

机构地区：[1]西华大学应用数学研究所,四川成都610039

出　　处：《辽宁工学院学报》2006年第4期266-270,共5页Journal of Liaoning Institute of Technology(Natural Science Edition)

摘　　要：针对芦苇产量的预测问题,建立了灰色系统预测模型。利用可信度p。、关联度R、后验差比值C和小误差概率p等项指标检验了模型,证实了所建模型是可靠的、可行的。The grey system prediction model of the yield of reed was designed. From the tested results calculated by some indexes, such as reliability p ,association degree R, correlative value of posterior error C and micro-error probability p, the model of grey system theory for the yield of reed was examined and certified,which proved the model reliable and feasible.

关 键 词：灰色系统理论 预测 模型 芦苇 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济]