纺织工业经济指标的灰色预测模型分析  

Fuzzy Forcasting Modes of Economy Indexes for Textile Industry

作　　者：陈志祥[1] 谢小虎[1] 王雪初 

机构地区：[1]武汉纺织工学院纺织系

出　　处：《纺织高校基础科学学报》1996年第3期263-268,共6页Basic Sciences Journal of Textile Universities

摘　　要：利用灰色系统理论，对我国纺织工业主要经济指标（生产总值、销售收入和利税总额）做了建模分析．结果表明，对于生产总值和销售收入，用残差周期修正模型精度较高．对利税额精度极低。This article built the forcasting modes of main economy indexes for textile industry using Fuzzy system theory. The conclusion shows that the precision is very high in the total producing value and sailing income modes with a deviation periodical correcting method, but in the tax of interest mode, it is very low. This indicates that the production and profit do not grow at the same speed.

关 键 词：灰色模型 生产总值 纺织工业 经济指标 

分 类 号：F407.812.4[经济管理—产业经济]