对外直接投资与地区对外贸易关系的实证分析  

An empirical analysis of relationship between FDI and foreign trade

作　　者：刘庆林[1] 宫波[1] 赵楠[1] 

机构地区：[1]山东大学经济学院,山东济南250100

出　　处：《广州大学学报（社会科学版）》2006年第7期8-12,共5页Journal of Guangzhou University:Social Science Edition

摘　　要：外商直接投资(FD I)和对外贸易是一个国家同时也是一个地区经济发展的主要推动力,对两者关系的实证分析有利于推动外商直接投资和促进对外贸易的良性发展,进而促进经济的持续稳定发展。文章以山东省为例,经OLS回归分析、协整分析和Granger因果关系检验得出,山东省的外商直接投资整体上促进了对外贸易的增长,其中对出口的推动作用比较明显,对进口的带动则不大。FDI and foreign trade are the main motive powers of the economic development in Shandong. An empirical analysis on the relationship between them is useful in promoting the steady development of FDI, foreign trade and Shandong＇ s economy. After the OLS analysis, Co-integration test and Granger-causality test,it is concluded that on the whole, the FDI of Shangdong has promoted the foreign trade, especially the export trade, which has apparently developed faster than the import trade.

关 键 词：外商直接投资 对外贸易 协整分析 格兰杰检验 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]