生育控制下的生育率下降与性别失衡  

Fertility Decline and Imbalance of Sex Ratio under Birth Control

作　　者：杨书章[1] 王广州[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人口与发展研究中心,北京100081

出　　处：《市场与人口分析》2006年第4期18-28,共11页Market & Demographic Analysis

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目<中国人口变动发展预测比较研究>(项目批准号:06BRK010)的资助

摘　　要：从生育控制的视角,运用孩次性别递进理论,分析生育意愿与生育率、生育性别比的关系,得到了在生育性别自然规律下达到生育目标最低生育率YFR唯一存在的结论。给出了生育目标YFR的计算方法。探讨了YFR在生育性别监测和预警中的应用。On the view-point of birth control, applying the theory of parity-sex progression, authors analysis the relations between ideal boys and girls, fertility rate and birth-sex-ratio. Under condition of the natural law of sex at birth, the lowest fertility rate for the goal （YFR） is existed and only. In the paper, and demonstrated the applications of YFR authors have given the method to calculate YFR during the birth-sex-ratio monitoring and warning.

关 键 词：生育率 出生性别比 生育性别比 YFR 

分 类 号：C92-03[社会学—人口学]