广州市人口密度分布及演化模型研究  

Modeling the Spatial Distribution of Urban Population Density and Its Evolution in Guangzhou

作　　者：谢守红[1] 宁越敏[2] 

机构地区：[1]江南大学商学院,江苏无锡214122 [2]华东师范大学城市与区域发展研究所,上海200062

出　　处：《数理统计与管理》2006年第5期518-522,共5页Journal of Applied Statistics and Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(40171030)

摘　　要：根据广州市第三、四、五次人口普查资料,运用GIS技术对空间数据进行提取,然后对广州城市人口密度分布进行数学模拟和比较。结果表明,1982年以来广州市人口密度呈现典型的Clark分布,而且随着时间的推进,其拟合程度越来越高,今后将逐步向Newling模型演变。On the basis of the third, fourth and fifth population census and implying Geography Information System technique to get spatial data, the author studies and models the distribution of urban population density and its evolution in Guangzhou. It is indicated that the Clark Model can best describe spatial distribution of urban population density and its evolution since 1982 in Guangzhou, and with the lapse of time, fit of the model become better and better. In the future, this Clark Model of population density will evolves into the Newling model.

关 键 词：人口密度 空间分布 广州市 

分 类 号：O212[理学—概率论与数理统计]