太阳日射能的随机过程分析和模拟  

Stochastic Analysis and Simulation of Insolation Sequences

作　　者：程子峰[1] 

机构地区：[1]中日友好环境保护中心,北京100029

出　　处：《环境科学研究》1996年第2期56-59,共4页Research of Environmental Sciences

摘　　要：用在Amman,Jordan测得的太阳辐射实验数据,计算得到了模拟随机过程的自回归模型的回归系数和马尔科夫转移矩阵,并用此2种方法对太阳辐射过程进行模拟,分析比较2种方法的优缺点,说明了马尔科夫转移矩阵是模拟太阳辐射过程的较好方法。Using the insolation sequences data obtained in Amman, Jordan, the regressive coefficients of autoregressive model and Markov transition matrix were calculated. The two methods were used to simulate the insolation sequences. Through comparison of the simulations by the two methods, it was found that the Markov transition matrix approach is better than the autoregressive method when used to simulate solar radiation process.

关 键 词：随机过程分析 太阳辐射 马氏转移矩阵 模拟 

分 类 号：P422.1[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]