区域产业结构、人力资源及人口变化对经济增长的影响  

Influence of the Change of the Human Resources and the Industrial Structure in Xi′an on the Economic Growth

作　　者：雷亚萍[1] 李彩凤[2] 

机构地区：[1]西安理工大学工商管理学院,西安710048 [2]西安工业大学经济管理学院,西安710032

出　　处：《科技导报》2006年第9期69-72,共4页Science & Technology Review

基　　金：陕西省自然科学基金项目(02G11);陕西省教育厅专项基金项目(02JK009)

摘　　要：采用产业结构、人力资源与人口变化对经济发展的贡献模型,以1993-2003年西安市各产业的GDP、从业人数和人口总数为基本数据,对其经济增长进行了实证分析。结果显示:西安市的第二、第三产业人均劳动生产率和经济贡献率远高于第一产业;而第一产业的劳动力比例却占到40%,第二和第三产业劳动力的比例之和仅为60%左右。从发展趋势来看,西安市人口的负增长效应是逐年上升的,产业结构也基本上趋于合理化,有着向产业高级化发展的趋势。The economic growth situation is studied through analyzing the basic data of GDP about different industries quantity of employment and the total population from the year of 1993 to 2003, by adopting the contribution model on industrial structure, human resource and population growth influence the economic growth. The result indicates that it is far higher in individual productivity of the second industry and the third industry of Xi＇an than that of the tertiary industry, and so is the rate of economic contribution. Moreover, the proportion of labor force of the tertiary industry accounts for 40%, the sum of the second and the third is only about 60%. According to the developing trend, the effect of negative gruwth of the population of Xi＇an rises year by year, the industrial structure also tends to the rationalization basically and develops towards industry, higher trend.

关 键 词：产业结构 人力资源 人口增长 经济贡献 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济]