兵力需求系统动力学模型研究  

On system dynamics model of military strength demand

作　　者：郭浩波[1] 王颖龙[1] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学导弹学院,陕西三原713800

出　　处：《海军工程大学学报》2006年第5期83-86,90,共5页Journal of Naval University of Engineering

基　　金：空军工程大学学术(联合)基金资助项目(KGD-XL02-200420)

摘　　要：针对兵力需求的动态不确定问题,定性分析兵力需求的影响因素及其相互关系,运用Vensim软件构建兵力需求系统动力学模型,定量研究兵力需求相关变量间因果关系及需求变化的动态规律,并进行数值仿真.结果表明,系统动力学用于兵力需求的研究,有效地解决了系统某些参数关系难以量化、数据不足等问题.An uncertain problem with the dynamic state of military strength demand is analyzed qualitatively according to influencing factors and their correlation. Further, a system dynamics model is established and simulated by Vensim software so as to fulfill the correlation among the variables. And the dynamic principle of demand changes quantitatively. The results indicate that the research on the system dynamics model of military strength demand can effectively solve the problems such as some parameter correlation difficult to reckon and the insufficiency of data.

关 键 词：兵力需求 系统动力学 仿真 模型 

分 类 号：E15[军事—军事理论]