数量化方法在突出危险性区域预测中的应用  

Application of Quantification Methods in Regional Prediction of Outburst Dangerous

作　　者：董德斌[1] 曹垚林[2] 

机构地区：[1]焦作煤业集团公司九里山矿,河南焦作454000 [2]煤炭科学研究总院抚顺分院,辽宁抚顺113122

出　　处：《煤矿安全》2006年第10期10-13,共4页Safety in Coal Mines

摘　　要：通过研究矿井老区煤与瓦斯突出规律,利用数量化理论建立老区地质勘探钻孔资料同突出指标之间区划预测模型,并对矿井老区进行区划,检验预测模型的准确性。然后将已经修正的预测模型应用到矿井新区中,进行区划。解决了在不具备直接测定各预测参数的新区域进行突出危险性区域预测的难点问题。Through the research on the hales of coal and gas outburst in mine outdated district, setting up regional prediction models between outdated district geology exploratory boring data and outburst index by quantification theory, then distribute the mine outdated district and check up the accuracy of the prediction models. Then apply the prediction models modified to distribute the mine new district. And the difficult issues that regional prediction of outburst dangerous in new districts when we cant determine the predictions parameters directly, have been resolved.

关 键 词：数量化理论 区域预测 瓦斯地质预测方法 

分 类 号：TD713.2[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]