居民收入和消费预测的灰理论方法  

The Grey System Theory and Method of the Forecasting on the Revenue and Consumption of the Residents

作　　者：相丽驰[1] 伍宪彬[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江万里学院基础学院,浙江宁波315100

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2006年第10期66-72,共7页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：国家社会科学基金(04BJY047);浙江省教育厅科研项目(20060179)

摘　　要：阐述灰色模型GM(1,1)建立及检验的基本理论和方法.并依据2000年—2005年浙江农村居民人均纯收入和人均生活消费数据,利用GM(1,1)模型建模方法,对“十一五”期间浙江农民的纯收入和生活消费进行了预测.This is an article explaining the basic theory and method on establishing and testing of the Grey Model （1.1）. Based on the data of the net income and the average life consumption during the year 2000 to 2005, this article forecast the net income and life consumption of the rural residents in Zhejiang province during the llth Five-Year Plan period by establishing a Grey Model （1.1）.

关 键 词：灰色系统 农民 收入 消费 预测 

分 类 号：F126[经济管理—世界经济] F224