Main Reasons Causing Chinese Agricultural Crisis in 1959-1961： Quantitative Test on Yifu Lin＇s Hypothesis  

作　　者：Guojie Zhao Weixi Zhang Qingmin Hao 

机构地区：[1]Tianjin University

出　　处：《Chinese Business Review》2005年第7期11-16,共6页中国经济评论（英文版）

基　　金：This paper is supported by National Nature Science Foundation of China （No. 70071041）

摘　　要：The traditional explanation was found to be inconsistent with the empirical evidence that mainly caused the agricultural crisis in 1959-1961, so Yifu Lin tried to explain this catastrophe through using Game Theory based on ＂one-shot game＂. This paper tested the hypothesis through quantitative test. The results showed that system factors mainly resulted in low productivity, and the natural disaster should not be ignored.

关 键 词：agricultural crisis total factor productivity Cobb-Douglass productive function quantitative test 

分 类 号：F0[经济管理—政治经济学]