浅谈贝叶斯风险决策分析  

On the Bayes Risk Decision-making Analysis

作　　者：何江妮[1] 王玟[1] 

机构地区：[1]新疆财经学院应用数学系,新疆乌鲁木齐830012

出　　处：《新疆师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2006年第4期18-20,33,共4页Journal of Xinjiang Normal University(Natural Sciences Edition)

摘　　要：从事经济活动具有风险,在制定一项经济决策之前,应注重其风险分析。文章将贝叶斯理论应用于经济活动,简述了贝叶斯理论的基本原理,并通过一个具体实例,给出了应用贝叶斯理论的步骤和方法。It has risks engaging an economic activity. Before making an. economical decision, we should pay great attention to its risk analysis. This paper applies the theory of Baycs to economic activities, and summarizes basic principles of the Bayes theory, and proposes the steps and the method in applying the Bayes theory based on a concrete case.

关 键 词：贝叶斯决策 风险分析 期望收益 

分 类 号：O212.8[理学—概率论与数理统计]