房地产价格波动影响因素及我国的经验分析  

Factors Influencing Real Estate Price Fluctuation and the Empirical Analysis in China

作　　者：段军山[1] 

机构地区：[1]广东商学院金融学院,广东广州510320

出　　处：《湖南工程学院学报（社会科学版）》2006年第4期1-5,共5页Journal of Hunan Institute of Engineering(Social Science Edition)

摘　　要：房地产即是消费品又是投资品,其价格波动受贷款规模、市场预期、需求规模、土地投机等因素的影响。欧美经验表明:房地产价格是由当期和滞后的收入增长和实际利率所推动的。对我国的经验分析发现,房价与货币供给之间有强的正相关关系,那么对信贷规模的控制成为目前遏制房地产价格过快增长的重要措施之一。Real estate is regarded as consumer goods and investment. Its price fluctuation is influenced by such factors as loan scale, market expectation, demand scale and land speculation. European and American experience indicated that the real estate price is affected by the current and lag income growth and the real interest rate. Empirical analysis in China shows that the real estate price has a strong correlation with housing price and currency supplies. This paper concludes that controlling credit scale is one of the important measures to restrain the excessive growth of real estate.

关 键 词：房地产价格 货币供给 地价泡沫 

分 类 号：F293.3[经济管理—国民经济]