进出口伪报与中国资本控制的缺陷——海关统计数据揭示的事实  

The Misreporting of External Trade and Shortcomings of Capital Control of China:the Truth Custom Statistics Shows

作　　者：王振全[1] 黄彤华[2] 谢安[3] 

机构地区：[1]北京石油化工学院经济管理学院 [2]北京化工大学经济管理学院 [3]中央财经大学经济数学系

出　　处：《统计研究》2006年第11期24-29,共6页Statistical Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70471021)

摘　　要：Based on customhouse statistics of twenty-nine partners,trade misinvoicing for China is estimated in this paper.It is verified in events analysis that the indication of the estimations tracks the economic reform of China.It is indicated that the main channel for capital fight from China is export under-invoicing and import over-invoicing in 28 bilateral trades other than Hong Kong,while the import under-inwuing in the bilateral trades to Hong Kong results in a considerable illegal inflow of international portfolio capital.It is implied by the analysis that existent supervision of foreign trade is the shortage of capital control,and a reinforced custom system is the compensation for the national capital control system.Based on customhouse statistics of twenty-nine partners, trade misinvoicing for China is estimated in this paper. It is verified in events analysis that the indication of the estimations tracks the economic reform of China. It is indicated that the main channel for capital fight from China is export under-invoicing and import over-invoicing in 28 bilateral trades other than Hong Kong, while the import under-inwuing in the bilateral trades to Hang Kong results in a considerable illegal inflow of international portfolio capital. It is implied by the analysis that existent supervision of foreign trade is the shortage of capital control, and a reinforced custom system is the compensation for the national capit^d control system.

关 键 词：资本控制 进出口伪报 海关统计 资本流动 

分 类 号：F112.1[经济管理—国际贸易]