1982-2005年中国省域资本流动差异解析  

The Analysis of Capital Flow among China’s Provinces in 1982-2005

作　　者：麦勇[1] 李勇[2] 

机构地区：[1]新疆财经学院金融系,新疆乌鲁木齐830012 [2]东华大学旭日工商管理学院,上海200051

出　　处：《中国软科学》2006年第12期79-86,共8页China Soft Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(项目编号:70203006)

摘　　要：本文运用我国各省份1982-2005年的面板数据估计了度量资本流动程度的β系数。并结合β系数、储蓄率和投资率平均值之差、储蓄率和投资率相关性。探讨我国各省份资本流动的程度。研究发现：我国省际资本流动的程度大小与储蓄率和投资率平均值之差之间有较强的倒U型关系，β值较大的省份大多数是储蓄投资均差较小的省份，同时也是储蓄率和投资率的相关性较强的省份。反之则反是，各省资本流动表现出东部省份资本流动最强、西部省份次之、中部省份最弱的格局。从时序来看，我国东部与西部地区省份之间在1982-2005年闻的资本流动表现出逐渐减弱的阶段性特征。Using each provinces Penal Date from 1982 to 2005, we estimated the β coefficient. Within β coefficient and the difference between saving investment ratio, and correlation between saving investment ratio, This article discussed the extent of capital flows among each provinces. We find the capital flows has strong counter correlation with the difference of saving ratio and investment ratio, a provinces has a largerβcoefficient also has a little difference between saving investment ratio , and has a has stronger counter correlation between saving investment ratio, Vice versa. East provinces has Largest degree of capital flow, West provinces take second place, Middle part provinces is the last. The extent of capital flows displaies gradually lower among east and west provinces.

关 键 词：省域资本流动 储蓄率 投资率 

分 类 号：F832.48[经济管理—金融学]