工业化技术与农村劳动力剩余转移分析  

Analysis of industrial technology and rural labour surplus

作　　者：陈在余[1] 严英龙[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国药科大学商学院,江苏南京210038 [2]江苏省社会科学院现代化研究中心,江苏南京210013

出　　处：《南京农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2006年第4期40-45,共6页Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)

摘　　要：运用费景汉、拉尼斯(1961)提出的衡量技术创新类型的分析框架,实证分析了我国改革以来的工业化技术对我国农村剩余劳力转移的影响①,对我国非农劳力增长进行了技术分解,并与日本、印度的工业化数据进行了比较;经验数据表明90年代末起我国非农劳力增长率与总人口增长率已非常接近,而技术创新吸纳剩余劳力表现为较高的负增长,出现资本密集化趋势。本文认为我国工业化任务尚未完成,应发展劳动密集型产业,以较少的资本最大限度地吸纳农村剩余劳力,直至消除二元结构。Using the analysis framework of distinguishing the technique type put forward by Fei ＆ Ranis in 1961 , the article analyzes the effect of the industrialization on the rural labor surplus and technically decomposes the increase of non - farm labor since the country＇ s reform open - door policy implementation and makes a comparison with the data from Japan and India. It is found that since the end of 90s, the increase rate of non - farm labour has been approximately equal to that of total population and the transformation of rural surplus labour experienced a negative increase resulted from the capital - intensive tendency in technique innovation. We argue that the labor - intensive industry should further absorb rural surplus labor with less capital before the dual economy is over as China＇ s industrialization has not yet completed.

关 键 词：工业化 技术创新 剩余劳力转移 

分 类 号：F120.3[经济管理—世界经济]