全国城市汉族儿童青少年身高、体重发育的研究  

Research on Growth Trend of Junior in the Cities of China

作　　者：陈亮[1] 翟连林[2] 

机构地区：[1]曲阜师范大学体育科学学院,曲阜市273165 [2]曲阜师范大学体育教研部,山东省日照市276826

出　　处：《曲阜师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2007年第1期109-113,共5页Journal of Qufu Normal University(Natural Science)

摘　　要：依据国家先后4次测试公布的全国城市汉族儿童青少年体质调研的原始数据,运用灰色非等间距GM(1,1)模型,建立城市儿童青少年生长发育预测值模型,预测未来10年城市儿童青少年的生长发育趋势.结果表明,未来10年我国城市儿童青少年生长发育有继续提前的趋势;生长发育逐渐进入低速增长阶段;10岁左右的儿童肥胖问题日趋显现;12岁后女孩体重增长速度过缓,导致一定程度上呈现体重与身高增长之间的不协调.Based on original data of physical investigation for junior conducted in the cities of China and using the non-equidistance GM（1,1） model, the expect model for junior growth in the cities is established, the growth trend of junior in the future of 10 years is predicated. The result showed that the growth of junior in the cities is still in the trend of grown-up earlier; the growth enter the low speed growth stage gradually; the obese question of ten years＇ old junior appears seviously; the body weight rate of rising older than of 12-years-old girls increase slowly, which cause the no-cordination between the body weight and the height grows to some degree.

关 键 词：儿童青少年 城市 身高 体重 不等间距模型 灰色预测 

分 类 号：G804.49[文化科学—运动人体科学]