经济发展与城乡统筹互动关系分析——以山东省为例  

An analysis on the interaction relationship between economical development and overall development of urban and countryside——A case study in Shandong Province

作　　者：卢百魁[1] 张旭[1] 

机构地区：[1]青岛大学经济学院,山东青岛26071

出　　处：《河北农业大学学报（农林教育版）》2006年第4期69-72,77,共5页Journal of Agricultural University of Hebei

摘　　要：随着经济的发展,山东的城乡统筹状况总体上趋于恶化,城乡差距在进一步扩大。通过协整实证分析表明,山东经济发展与城乡统筹之间存在着一种双向的、互为因果的互动关系。通过脉冲响应分析表明,经济发展并不会自动导致城乡差距的缩小,实现城乡统筹发展;相反,经济发展从中长期看还会进一步加大城乡差距。After Reform and Opening, the situation of overall development of the urban and rural area is worsening with the development of the economy in Shandong Province, and the disparity between the urban and the countryside is expanding. By cointegration empirical analysis, we can find that there is a bidirectional and interaction relationship between the development of Shandong economy and overall development both urban and rural. The impulse response analysis indicates that the development of economy cannot automatically reduce the disparity of urban and countryside and realize overall development. On the contrary, the economic development for a long time can further widen the urban and rural disparity.

关 键 词：经济发展 城乡统筹 主成分分析 协整 

分 类 号：F120.4[经济管理—世界经济]