影响安全生产状况的经济社会发展指标及灰色关联度分析  

Effect of Socio-economic Development Index on Work Safety and Its Grey Correlation Analysis

作　　者：孔留安[1] 田好敏[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京科技大学土木与环境工程学院,北京100083 [2]河南理工大学安全科学与工程学院,焦作454003

出　　处：《中国安全科学学报》2007年第1期46-50,共5页China Safety Science Journal

摘　　要：为研究我国经济社会发展指标与安全生产状况之间的关系,首先对新中国建立以来安全生产状况的规律性作了分析研究。然后选取了与安全生产密切相关的7个经济社会发展指标,应用灰色系统理论的关联度分析法计算分析了各指标对安全生产状况的影响程度,得出该时期农业产值占GDP的比重对安全生产状况的影响最大,第三产业的影响其次,科技和教育经费的投入指标对安全生产状况的影响度较小的结论,并深入分析探讨了其内在原因。提出了我国在工业化进程中如何解决安全生产问题的意见和建议。In order to study the relationship between socio-economic development index and work safety of our country, this paper makes an analysis and study of the rule of work safety after the foundation of the People＇s Republic of China. Seven pieces of socio-economic development indices closely related to work safety are chosen to calculate their affecting degree by using the method of correlation analysis in theory of grey system. The result indicates that the ratio of agriculture output to GDP is the most important factor, the second is the ratio of the tertiary industry to GDP, the expenditure input in technology and education is a minor one. Finally, reasons for this phenomenon are explored, and suggestions and recommendations are made to solve the problems of work safety in the process of China＇s industrialization.

关 键 词：灰色关联度 安全生产 经济社会发展指标 相关性 灰色理论 

分 类 号：X915.4[环境科学与工程—安全科学]