非农化进程中农户农业投资研究  

Peasant Household Agriculture Investment Research in Non-agriculture Process

作　　者：潘志强[1] 孙中栋[1] 

机构地区：[1]湘潭大学商学院,湘潭411105

出　　处：《中央财经大学学报》2007年第1期86-91,共6页Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics

摘　　要：随着我国非农化进程的加快,农户非农收入迅速增长,非农收入对于农户收入增长的贡献率超过了农业,农户的农业投资可能会下降;另一方面由于农业劳动力减少,继续从事农业的劳动者可以分享更多的农业收入,非农业的发展本身也会带动农业发展,从而促使农户增加农业投资。本文分析了影响农户农业投资的因素,以我国1978-2004年的数据为基础,采用Vector Autoregression模型对农户个人农业投资进行脉冲分析和方差分解,结果表明我国非农化对于促使农户增加农业投资有积极的效应。With the development of non--farm in our country, the income of non--farm increases quickly, and the contribution of non-farm income to farmer＇s income has exceed the farm active, all these drive farmer decreasing the grain investment. Some study think agricultural production, particularly grain farming may be destroyed. Others think that income from grain production to people who still be engaged in grain production will increase relatively because less people could share more farm income, this will encourages people to reinvestment in grain production. This paper examines the facts which affect farm household reinvestment in grain production and incorporates Vector Autoregression model with Impulse Response Function examining variance decomposition. It has found that Non--agriculture process has a positive advantage effect on grain production.

关 键 词：农业投资 非农收入 非农化进程 

分 类 号：F323.9[经济管理—产业经济]