福建省慢性病死亡率变化的定量分析  

Quantitative Analysis on Mortality Fluctuating of Chronic Diseases in Fujian,China

作　　者：叶莺[1] 林曙光[1] 钟文玲 陈崇帼[1] 薛常镐[1] 肖泽章[1] 

机构地区：[1]福建省疾病预防控制中心,福州350001

出　　处：《海峡预防医学杂志》2007年第1期16-19,共4页Strait Journal of Preventive Medicine

摘　　要：[目的]定量测量人口因素和非人口因素对福建省人群慢性病死亡率变化的影响,估计非人口因素在疾病死亡变化中的作用。[方法]应用死亡率差别分解法,分析1993—1995年及2003—2005年我省死因登记系统监测资料,计算人群死亡率变化由人口因素和非人口因素引起的比例。[结果]城市地区人口结构稳定,非人口因素作用影响更大;农村地区人口老化程度加快,人口因素与非人口因素共同影响死亡率的变化。1993—2005年肺癌、乳腺癌及糖尿病死亡率呈上升趋势,在城市地区80%以上是非人口因素的作用,农村地区非人口因素作用也占了50%左右。[结论]慢性病主要由行为危险因素引起,要降低其死亡率,很大程度上有赖于人们改变自己的不良行为习惯。[Objective ] To explain mortality fluctuating of chronic diseases in Fujian by quantitative analysis of demographic and non-demographic factors, and estimate the effect of mortality fluctuating cause by non-demographic factors. [Methods ] Using death cause data of National Death Surveillance System during 1993-1995 and 2003-2005 to calculate the proportion of contribution of demographic and non-demographic factors by the methods of decomposing the differences of death rates. [Results ] The composition of population in urban were stable, and the effect of the non-demographic factors were greater in power. And with the process of population aging was speed up in rural area. The fluctuating of mortality was influenced by demographic and non-demographic factors in common. During 1993-2005, the mortality of lung cancer, breast cancer and diabetes increased. The increasing of mortality of these diseases were contributed to the non-demographic factors, and the proportion was more than 80% in urban and 50% in rural. [Conclusion ] Chronic diseases are mainly caused by behavioral factors. In order to reduce the mortality, unhealthy behaviors should be changed for the disease control and prevention.

关 键 词：死亡率 人口因素 非人口因素 行为危险因素 

分 类 号：R195.3[医药卫生—卫生统计学]