经济增长与对外投资大国地位的形成  

Economic Growth and China's Emerging as a Main Source Country of FDI

作　　者：李辉[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院研究生院2004级财贸经济系,博士生100102

出　　处：《经济研究》2007年第2期38-47,共10页Economic Research Journal

摘　　要：本文回顾了发展中国家对外投资理论和国内对我国开展对外投资的理论文献,对我国所处的成长阶段进行了分析,得出了我国已经处于第二阶段和第三阶段中间的结论。通过增加相关变量,扩展了邓宁的IDP理论模型。并使用国际面板数据,用PCSE方法对模型进行估计,对我国未来五年的对外投资规模进行了趋势性的预测。After reviewing related theories and literatures on China's outward investment, this paper discussed the position of China in the IDP developing phase, got the conclusion that China has been at the position between phase Ⅱ and phase Ⅲ, and expanded the IDP model through adding more related variables. With panel data, this paper estimated model using PCSE method, and made a forecast on the scale of outward investment in the near 5 years.

关 键 词：经济增长 对外投资 IDP理论 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济] F832.6