弹炮结合防空武器系统毁伤概率分析与仿真  

Kill Probability Analysis and Simulation of Integrated Missile and Anti-aircraft Gun Weapon System

作　　者：彭峰生[1] 廖振强[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京理工大学,江苏南京210094

出　　处：《火力与指挥控制》2007年第3期62-64,共3页Fire Control & Command Control

基　　金：中北大学横向课题(H20041703)

摘　　要：针对弹炮结合防空武器系统毁伤概率是决定系统效能的关键问题,分析了决定系统精度和毁伤概率的主要因素及其相互关系。以单枚导弹对目标的毁伤概率和高炮一次点射对目标的毁伤概率为目的,建立了弹炮结合系统毁伤概率分析模型。通过计算机仿真得出了一定航路条件下对典型目标射击,高炮一个2S长的36发点射的平均毁伤概率为40%,单枚导弹的平均毁伤概率为63%。在2枚导弹和2个点射的情况下,系统总的毁伤概率可达97.8%。It is obvious that the effectiveness of integrated missile and anti-aircraft gun weapon system is determined by its accuracy ,capability, and so on. Some directly effects and relationships of the relative system errors of the system are analyzed to determine its kill probability. A set of software of the kill probability of the system is development and simulated with respect to typical targets, the average kill probability for aircraft-gun of a 2s burst fire of 36 rounds is 40%,and the average of kill probability for single missile is 63%. With two missiles launch and two burst fires,the total kill probability of the system can reach as high as 97.8% according to the simulation results.

关 键 词：弹炮结合防空武器系统 精度分析 毁伤概率 系统仿真 

分 类 号：E924.91[军事—军事装备学] TJ306.1[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]