基于模糊概率的多层砖房震害预测  

Earthquake Damage Prediction of Multistorey Brick Buildings Based on Fuzzy Probability

作　　者：刘章军[1] 叶燎原[2] 

机构地区：[1]三峡大学土木水电学院 [2]云南大学,昆明650091

出　　处：《地震研究》2007年第1期99-104,共6页Journal of Seismological Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(59869002)资助

摘　　要：将模糊数学中的模糊概率理论运用于震害预测中,并建立了多层砖房的震害预测模型。研究表明,该预测模型概念清晰、计算简单,具有较好的合理性与实用性,是一种较为精细的预测方法。The theory of fuzzy probability has been used in the earthquake damage prediction in the paper, and a prediction model of multistory brick buildings is established. The study shows that this prediction model has features of clear concept, simple calculation and better reasonability and practicability, is a fme prediction method.

关 键 词：模糊概率 多层砖房 震害预测 

分 类 号：P315.9[天文地球—地震学]