应用概率分析法确定水利工程个别成本报价的可行性  

Feasibility on Applying Probability Analysis Method to Determine Specific Cost

作　　者：孟雷[1] 张蜀静 谷欣[3] 

机构地区：[1]汤原县水务局,黑龙江汤原154700 [2]四川电力总公司,内江641005 [3]黑龙江大学水利电力学院,哈尔滨150086

出　　处：《黑龙江水专学报》2006年第3期86-87,共2页Journal of Heilongjiang Hydraulic Engineering College

摘　　要：采用概率的方法来看待成本，制定出一条成本-概率曲线，一个成本对应一个概率。通过这条成本-概率曲线，对任意一投标人的报价都可以得到其盈亏的概率，同样确定一个盈亏概率也可得到个别承包商的“成本”。The paper looks upon cost with the probability analysis method, draws a cost probability curve and a cost correspond to a probability. Through the curve any quoted price from a bidder can obtain a probability of the profit and loss, at the same time a probability of the profit and loss can get a cost for a special contractor.

关 键 词：概率 水利工程 个别成本 

分 类 号：F407.9[经济管理—产业经济]