沙漠化地区乡村社区生态移民影响因子与预测模型研究——以民勤县湖区为例  

The Study on Influencing Factors and Forecastable Model of Ecological Migration——a case study on the terminal area of the Minqing Basin

作　　者：秦小东[1] 李丁[1] 潘燕辉[1] 

机构地区：[1]兰州大学资源环境学院,甘肃兰州730000

出　　处：《西北人口》2007年第2期41-44,共4页Northwest Population Journal

基　　金：甘肃省民勤县绿洲沙漠化防治与社区生态扶贫项目(项目编号:CHN-0715-02A)

摘　　要：本文讨论了民勤湖区生态移民的影响因子,认为水资源因子和收入因子是该地区发生移民的决定性因子,并且计算出了移民数量的预测模型。得出今后五年内该地区自发式移民数量为14236人,据此提出三点建议。Tbe is paper discusses the influencing agent of ecological migration in the terminal area of the Minqing Basin, the water resources and the income are two key factors resulting the ecological migration in the area, forecastable model of migrational quantity was calculated, based on the model, quantity of spontaneous migration will be 14,236 people in the next five years in this area, according to the above will put forward three proposals.

关 键 词：沙漠化地区 生态移民 影响因子 预测模型 

分 类 号：C922[社会学—人口学]