1985-2005年中国农村居民人均消费与收入协整分析  

Analysis of the Income and Consumption of Chinese Countryside from 1985 to 2005 on Cointegration Theory

作　　者：张旭[1] 卢百魁[1] 

机构地区：[1]青岛大学经济学院,山东青岛266071

出　　处：《武汉职业技术学院学报》2007年第1期116-117,120,共3页Journal of Wuhan Polytechnic

摘　　要：文章利用协整理论对我国农村居民收入和消费进行了分析。结果表明,我国农村居民家庭实际收入和实际消费之间存在长期的协整关系,当期收入和长期均衡对居民消费都具有较强的制约作用。因此,从长期来看,要刺激农村居民消费来拉动经济增长,必须增加农村居民的可支配收入。This paper analyzes the income and consumption of Chinese countryside under cointegration theory. The result shows that there is a stable relationship for a long time between the two. The current income and long stabilities have a strong restriction function to countryside consumption. It argues that countryside income must be increased to stimulate countryside consumption to promote economic growth in the long term.

关 键 词：单整检验 误差修正模型 协整分析 

分 类 号：D422.7[政治法律—政治学] F323.8[政治法律—国际共产主义运动]