从零散事实到典型化事实再到规律发现——兼论经济研究的层次划分  

Finding Theoretical Rules from Scattered and Stylized Facts

作　　者：王诚[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院经济研究所,邮政编码100836

出　　处：《经济研究》2007年第3期142-156,共15页Economic Research Journal

基　　金：国家社科基金重点项目"核心就业扩展与中国就业模式转型"(03AJL005);中国社会科学院重大课题(B)"就业优先的宏观调控目标体系研究"的资助

摘　　要：本文结合中国经济学发展的思考,对于典型化事实在经济理论中的地位和作用进行了初步探讨。典型化事实是一种能够反映经济运行的真实和基本特征的具有代表性的关键性事实。中国经济的"典型化事实"研究和发现仍然是一个未完成的任务。以计量分析指标所显示的典型化事实,及其所赖以产生的基础模型,必须建立在长期经济理论研究的积累之上。典型化事实,又是经济理论发展的方向。典型化事实的研究中需要排除一些不良的研究方法,并注意采用正确方法从零散事实中提炼典型化事实。经济研究的过程,大致上包括从零散事实到典型化事实,再到一般理论模型和真实模型,最后到经济规律发现等环节。The role and position of stylized facts in theoretical economics are explored in the paper based on the thinking of China＇s economic development. The findings include that the definition of a stylized fact is the one which can critically reflect and represent the reality and basic features of an economic operation; the set of stylized facts in Chinese economy has not yet found and established, and then require lots of academic effort and time in it ; the relationship between the stylized facts and economic theory is in interaction; the procedure of economic research is generally embodied in the extraction of stylized facts from scattered facts, the building of theoretical models on base of stylized facts, the exploration of the tree-models from ordinary theoretical models, and eventually the finding of the economic rules and laws.

关 键 词：典型化事实 零散事实 经济研究 经济理论史 

分 类 号：F091.3[经济管理—政治经济学]