生物燃料在我国公路交通中替代潜力分析  

Study on Biofuel Potential as Alternative Automotive Fuel in Domestic Road Transportation

作　　者：庄幸[1] 姜克隽[1] 

机构地区：[1]国家发展和改革委员会能源研究所,北京100038

出　　处：《中外能源》2007年第2期23-28,共6页Sino-Global Energy

摘　　要：首先从我国生物燃料开发的资源保障性、生产的技术经济性以及现代汽车技术利用的可能性等方面,对生物燃料的开发利用潜力进行了分析。之后重点论述了利用IPAC模型研究我国未来公路交通能源需求以及生物燃料替代的发展情景。研究表明:未来我国公路交通倍增的油品需求对我国石油供应造成巨大压力,推广新型汽车技术和发展替代燃料是降低公路交通油品消耗的战略措施,混合动力汽车技术与生物燃料结合是我国未来公路交通最佳的技术选择,并且生物燃料在我国未来公路交通中将展现出很强的燃料替代前景。the supplying Firstly ,the paper analyzes the potential of development and utilization of biofuel that related to capability of resources ,the economic utility of production technology ,and the probability on biofuel using in the automobile technology.Secondly, the paper expatiats how to use IPAC model to research the potential of biofuel utilization in domestic road transportation.The research shows that the demand of gasoline and diesel oil on the road transportation will increase with several times in the future to bring on huge pressure for supplying petroleum safely.Expanding advanced automobile technology and developing substitute fuel should become national stratagem measure to decrease petroleum consumption in the road transportation.Hybrid drive technology combine with biofule will be the optimal choice for energy saving and environmental protection in road transportation.Biofuel shows strong substitute capability in road transportation in the future.

关 键 词：生物燃料 生物柴油 公路交通 潜力 

分 类 号：F426.2[经济管理—产业经济]