Application of Risk Index to Risk-Based Decision-Making in Vessel Traffic Service System  

作　　者：郭国平 范耀天 

机构地区：[1]School of Navigation, Wuhan University of Technology

出　　处：《Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University(English Edition)》2007年第2期142-147,共6页西南交通大学学报（英文版）

基　　金：The project of Shanghai Science andTechnology Committee (No.052112060)

摘　　要：The applications of risk index to risk estimation, risk acceptability, and cost-benefit analysis for planning vessel traffic service （VTS） system were analyzed. An example of Wuhan Port shows that its application is easily implemented and can be helpful in a comprcbensive and scientific decision-making. Especially aiming to the difficult problems with respect to risk prediction, risk acceptability and cost-benefit assessment, this article put forward some new solutions based on risk-index, such as the trendline estimation, ALARP （as low as reasonably practicable） matrix and weighted cost-benefit analysis, with a fairly good operability and comparability.The applications of risk index to risk estimation, risk acceptability, and cost-benefit analysis for planning vessel traffic service （VTS） system were analyzed. An example of Wuhan Port shows that its application is easily implemented and can be helpful in a comprcbensive and scientific decision-making. Especially aiming to the difficult problems with respect to risk prediction, risk acceptability and cost-benefit assessment, this article put forward some new solutions based on risk-index, such as the trendline estimation, ALARP （as low as reasonably practicable） matrix and weighted cost-benefit analysis, with a fairly good operability and comparability.

关 键 词：Safety assessment Risk analysis Vessel traffic Vessel traffic service 

分 类 号：U672[交通运输工程—船舶及航道工程]