世界石油市场“危机”及走向预测  

Is the World Oil Market Crisis Coming?

作　　者：赵林[1] 陈大恩[1] 储志君[1] 曲会[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国石油大学工商管理学院,北京102249

出　　处：《中国石油大学学报（社会科学版）》2007年第2期1-5,共5页Journal of China University of Petroleum (Edition of Social Sciences)

摘　　要：上个世纪的世界石油市场曾一度染“病”在身。导致石油市场“病变”的关键因素是石油生产者丧失了对油价的控制能力。我们可以通过分析历史上的各个“危机”时期石油市场的“病因”,分析当今世界石油市场所处的状态,从短期和长期两方面预测其未来走向。The world petroleum industry has experienced more than 140 years full of frustrations. This paper takes oil price as the clue, analyses each crisis during the development history of the world oil market, and explores its pathogens, symptom and recovery situation. By analyzing and summarizing each crisis, the paper diagnoses the world oil market and forecasts its future tend with both the short term and long term views.

关 键 词：油价 石油供应 石油需求 “危机” 石油市场 

分 类 号：F416.22[经济管理—产业经济]