我国印刷业未来15年若干经济指标预测  

Forecasting of Several Economy Indexs of Printing Industry Development of Our Country in Next 15 Years

作　　者：付海燕[1] 李治堂[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京印刷学院,北京102600

出　　处：《北京印刷学院学报》2007年第2期24-27,共4页Journal of Beijing Institute of Graphic Communication

基　　金：国家社科基金2004年重大项目(04&ZD030)

摘　　要：我国印刷业正面临着比较好的发展机遇,对反映印刷业未来发展状况的主要指标进行定量预测具有重要意义。根据国家统计局提供的数据和2004年经济普查数据,在合理假设的基础上,对近几年我国印刷业发展的基本状况进行了推算;并在此基础上,通过建立模型的方法对我国印刷业未来15年主要指标的发展水平做出了定量估计与推算。The printing industry is faced with an excellent opportunity for further development. It is of important significance in that the index of the printing industry development level in the future is forecasted. Based on data provided by National Bureau of Statistics of China and 2004 Economic Census, this paper has estimated that the printing industry development level of our country has undergone some rational assumptions. It also has given quantitative forecasting for an index of the printing industry development level by constructing models for next 15 years.

关 键 词：印刷业 指标 推算 预测 

分 类 号：F407.84[经济管理—产业经济]