1974~2004年山东省肾综合征出血热发病时间分布特征分析  

Analysis of Temporal Distribution Characteristic of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome in Shandong Province 1974-2004

作　　者：康殿民[1] 王志强[1] 陈仁友[1] 袁群[1] 曹杰[1] 傅继华[1] 薛付忠[2] 王洁贞[2] 

机构地区：[1]山东省疾病预防控制中心,山东济南250014 [2]山东大学公共卫生学院,山东济南250012

出　　处：《预防医学论坛》2007年第4期289-291,共3页Preventive Medicine Tribune

基　　金：山东省2002年医药卫生重大创新研究计划课题<山东省肾综合征出血热流行病学研究>(编号CX02103)

摘　　要：[目的]了解山东省HFRS的流行周期和季节特征，为进一步控制HFRS疫情的发生提供有价值的建议。[方法]根据山东省1974～2004年HFRS疫情资料分析流行趋势与季节分布特征。[结果]HFRS流行年度是当年9月至次年8月。1974～2004年，山东省HFRS经历了1984～1988年和1989～2000年为流行高峰，1986年和1995年为高峰年。1974～1978年基本上是以秋冬季发病为主，呈单一的秋冬峰型；1980～1989年发病人数剧增，各流行年度内呈双峰型，即春峰和秋冬峰，且以秋冬峰为主；1990年后，各流行年度仍呈双峰型，但以春峰为主。[结论]山东省HFRS流行周期大约8～10年，季节特征分别经历了单峰型、双峰型、以秋冬型为主，到双峰型、以春峰型为主转变。[Objective]To find out characteristic of temporal distribution for HFRS. control HFRS epidemic. [Methods] Epidemic period and trend were analyzed based on the data of HFRS epidemic status in Shandong（from 1974 to 2004）. [Results]Epidemic year of HFRS in Shandong was from September 1 this year to August 31 next year. There were 2 epidemic peaks in Shandong province（1984-1988,1989-2000）. The peak year was in 1986 and 1995. In the 1970s the incidence of HFRS was existed in autumn and winter basically and disease distribution model was single peak. In the 1980s, every epidemic year had double peaks, namely ,Spring and Autumn-Winter peak, and with the autumn and winter peak dominated. Since the 1990s,despite epidemic peak has also being appeared two styles,with the Spring peak dominated. [Conclusion]Epidemic period was about 8-10 years,and seasonal characteristic curves of HFRS transformed from single peak, double peaks （Autumn and winter dominated） to double peaks（Spring dominated）.

关 键 词：肾综合征出血热 时间分布特征 

分 类 号：R181.8[医药卫生—流行病学]