高速公路项目投资风险量化分析  

Quantitative Analysis of Expressway Investment Risk

作　　者：兰志雄[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖北省交通规划设计院,武汉430051

出　　处：《交通科技》2007年第2期120-123,共4页Transportation Science & Technology

摘　　要：结合高速公路项目投资的特点和一般规律,运用量化分析方法对高速公路项目风险及其敏感性进行估测。项目投资风险量化分析的方法包括盈亏平衡分析法、敏感性分析法等,研究了高速公路项目量化分析的数据因素和量化分析过程,利用上述方法对案例项目进行了实际分析,并据以判断投资项目的风险大小并做出决策。Considering the characteristics and general rules of expressway project investment, this paper carried out the investment risk analysis and sensitivities evaluation by the quantitative analysis method. This paper mainly introduced the risk quantitative analysis methods including break-even analysis method and sensitivity analysis method. Then the article introduced the data factors of quantitative analysis and the procedure in expressway investment. By the discussed methods, this paper analyzed the risks of the case project and gave the suggestions to decision makers and investors.

关 键 词：高速公路 投资 风险 

分 类 号：U415[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程]