大型公共项目的宏观经济贡献评价研究  

Study on Macroeconomic Contribution Evaluation of Large Public Projects

作　　者：张文娟[1] 王广斌[1] 

机构地区：[1]同济大学经济与管理学院

出　　处：《上海管理科学》2007年第2期64-67,共4页Shanghai Management Science

摘　　要：2006年7月3日国家发改委和建设部发布了《建设项目经济评价方法与参数》第三版,文中新增加了要求在开展投资项目经济评价工作中对项目进行区域经济与宏观经济影响分析的内容,因此如何对项目的区域经济宏观经济贡献进行合理量化评价就成为关键。我国大型公共项目的“瓶颈”地位,外部性强、使用周期长等特点决定了从投资的供给效应角度考核项目经济贡献更为必要。投入占用产出分析由于全面反应了国民经济系统各产业部门投入、占用与产出之间复杂的经济联系,能够较准确反映这种贡献。本文尝试建立了固定资产投入占用产出表,并应用投入占用产出技术得出了供给效应下项目投资引发的国民经济增长的计量方法和公式,为正确衡量项目的宏观投资效益奠定了基础。In July 3 2006, SDRC and MOC issued the third edition of ＂economic evaluation methods and parameters for the construction project＂ which for the first time requires the evaluation of influence that a project imposes to regional economy and macro economy. So how to give a reasonable quantitative evaluation is very important. In China the ＂ bottleneck status＂ of large public projects and their characteristics, such as large scale, marked exteriority, long service life, make it necessary to measure the project economic contribution from the perspective of supply effect. Input-occupy-output analysis can measure this contribution accurately. This article sets up the input-occupy-output table of fixed assets. It also gives the method and formula to calculate the contribution given by this project. Thus lays the foundation to weigh the economic returns correctly.

关 键 词：投入占用产出分析 经济增长 供给效应 

分 类 号：F282[经济管理—国民经济]