海峡两岸贸易流量和流向的引力模型分析  

Trade Volume and Flow Direction Analysis Between the Two Sides of the Taiwan Straits on Gravitation Model

作　　者：吴凤娇[1] 陈炳华[2] 

机构地区：[1]仰恩大学经济系 [2]仰恩大学国际金融系

出　　处：《亚太经济》2007年第3期88-92,共5页Asia-Pacific Economic Review

基　　金：2006年福建省社科规划项目"基于引力模型的海峡两岸贸易流向和贸易潜力研究"(项目编号2006B2068)

摘　　要：本文运用扩展后的贸易引力模型检验了祖国大陆和台湾地区之间的贸易流量和流向的决定,并以此为依据具体考量了内地各省市与台湾地区的贸易联系程度。结果显示:内地各省市的经济规模和人均收入水平、空间距离、台商投资和特殊的经济协作关系是决定内地各省市与台湾地区贸易流量的主要因素。应积极强化有利因素,弱化不利因素来挖掘海峡两岸的贸易潜力。This paper uses the expanded trade gravitation model, and test trade volume and the flow direction decision between motherland continent and Taiwan Region, and analyzes concretely trade contact degree between every inland province city and Taiwan Region .The results showed that every inland province city economy scale and average per capita income, space distance ,Taiwan Residents investment and peculiar economic cooperation relation are major factors to decide every inland province city and Taiwan Region trade volume. We should strengthen the helpful factors ,and reduce the disadvantageous factors actively to excavate the trade potential of the straits both sides.

关 键 词：海峡两岸 贸易流量 引力模型 

分 类 号：F114.46[经济管理—国际贸易]