多随机过程作用下的南水北调西线合理调水量  

Reasonable Water Regulation of West Route of South North Water Transfer Project under the Effect of Multi-Random Process

作　　者：吴新[1] 邓晓青[2] 彭少明[3] 乔西现[3] 李梅[3] 

机构地区：[1]长安大学水与发展研究院,陕西西安710054 [2]西安市市政工程管理处 [3]西安理工大学水电学院,陕西西安710048

出　　处：《人民黄河》2007年第5期31-32,共2页Yellow River

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(50679070)

摘　　要：南水北调西线工程的调水量,受多个随机过程的影响。以黄河干流花园口站为例,应用序列运算理论,分析研究了在多随机过程相互作用下,南水北调西线工程合理调水量。结果表明:在花园口站年缺水量、黄河干流输水能力和花园口配水量3个随机过程共同作用下,合理的年调水量应为160亿m3;年调水170亿m3和80亿m3也是可行的方案。The amount of water regulation of the West Route of South North Water Transfer Project is affected by multi random process.The paper analyzes and studies the reasonable amount of water regulation of the project under the interaction of multi random process by taking Huayuankou Station of the main Yellow River as an example and using serial operation theory.The outcomes show that the rational annual volume of water regulation should be 16 billion m3 under the joint actions of three random processes of annual water deficit of Huayuankou Station,carrying capacity of the main river and distribution volume of Huayuankou and;the plan of annual water regulation of 17 billion m3 and 8 billion m3 is also feasible.

关 键 词：随机过程 序列运算理论 南水北调西线工程 黄河 

分 类 号：TV213[水利工程—水文学及水资源] TV882.1