“新熊彼特”式产业演化模型及其应用研究  

Neo-Schumpeterian Evolutionary Model of Industrial Dynamics and Its Applied Research

作　　者：盛昭瀚[1] 高洁 

机构地区：[1]南京大学工程管理学院,江苏南京210093

出　　处：《管理工程学报》2007年第2期5-9,73,共6页Journal of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70171028;70571034);教育部哲学社会科学创新基地"南京大学经济转型和发展研究中心"子课题"复杂经济系统演化研究"项目资助

摘　　要：基于演化经济理论,建立了“新熊彼特”式的产业演化模型,分析由不同企业组成并有新企业持续随机进入的产业竞争动态,分析产业内各个企业的投资决策、R&D策略、技术创新以及产业特征的其他方面之间的相互作用。并应用该模型仿真计算了劳动密集型、技术密集型产业的演化。仿真结果表明,该模型很好地再现了两种类型产业的演化过程中呈现出来的典型事实,为中国产业结构优化升级的思路提供了理论依据。A neo-schumpeterian evolutionary model of industrial dynamics is proposed based on evolutionary economic theory in this paper. The competing dynamics in the industry, which includes various finns and allows new firms＇ continuous and random entry, is analyzed by the model. The paper studies the interaction between firms＇ investment decision-making, R＆D strategies, techniques transformation as well as other aspects of industry characteristics. The evolution of industry structure in both labor-massed and technique-concentrated industries is simulated by computer experiment, and the simulation shows that the model reappearance the stylized facts of industry evolution. And it provides theoretical fundament for the optimization of Chinese industry structure.

关 键 词：演化经济理论 产业结构 创新 资本 劳动 “新熊彼特”式 

分 类 号：F224.32[经济管理—国民经济]