论人民币汇率现状与短期变动趋势  

The Trend of RMB Exchange Rate in the Coming Year

作　　者：丁国勇[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院研究生院,北京100102

出　　处：《中州大学学报》2007年第1期15-18,共4页Journal of Zhongzhou University

摘　　要：自人民币汇率制度改革措施出台以来,人民币汇率一直呈现缓慢升值的走势。面对海外媒体认为人民币汇率改革并不彻底的评论,以及我国目前所面临的国内和国际的经济形势,人民币汇率会出现什么样的变动以及变动的程度有多大是近期的热点话题。本文试图结合我国市场特点,分析人民币升值的压力所在,从而得出近期内人民币汇率走势的判断。After the new exchange rate policy of RMB, the trend of the RMB exchange rate rose slowly. Because the criticism of entire reform of exchange rate policy of RMB from oversea media and the economic situation at home and abroad, the trend of RMB exchange rate in the coming year and how much it would change was a topic of general interest. This article combined the market characteristics and analyzed the revalue pressure of RMB exchange rate to get a judgment of RMB exchange rate in the coming year.

关 键 词：汇率 汇率制度 汇率改革 

分 类 号：F830[经济管理—金融学]