指数平滑法预测我国珠宝市场销售趋势  

Forecasting the Sale Tendency of Chinese Jewelry Market by Index Smooth Method

作　　者：管琪[1] 吴瑞华[1] 林琳[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学(北京)珠宝学院,北京100083 [2]石家庄经济学院,河北石家庄050031

出　　处：《石家庄经济学院学报》2007年第3期37-40,共4页Journal of Shijiazhuang University of Economics

摘　　要：中国已成为世界上的珠宝消费大国,中国市场的走向将直接影响国际市场的发展动向。运用指数平滑法对我国珠宝首饰市场在未来一定时期的销售趋势进行预测,并对预测结果进行评估、修正,从而透析我国珠宝首饰市场发展前景,为相关部门提供参考。China is one of the most important countries in jewelry consumption, and the trend of Chinese market will directly influence the development of international jewelry market. Based on the previous data, the sale tendency of our jewelry market in China is studied by using index smooth method, and the appraisal to the forecast result is also carried on. Some references are provided based on the research.

关 键 词：指数平滑法 珠宝市场 趋势 

分 类 号：F713.3[经济管理—产业经济]