气候变化对植物春季物候影响分析及模拟——以河南郑州为例  

Effect of Climate Change on Plant Spring Phenology and Its Simulation

作　　者：郑有飞[1] 陈彬彬[1] 赵国强[2] 陈怀亮[2] 吴荣军[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京信息工程大学环境科学与工程学院,江苏南京210044 [2]河南省气象局,河南郑州450061

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2007年第16期4711-4713,4722,共4页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：中国气象局预测减灾应用技术开发推广项目(CMATG2004-M21)

摘　　要：采用回归分析和t检验等统计学方法探讨了郑州地区1983-2004年间4种树木春季物候期的变化及其对气候变化的响应情况。结果表明：该地区年平均气温每升高1℃,春季物候期将提前1.6-13.7 d。The change of tree phenology of spring-time and its response to climate change during 1983 - 2004 in 21aengzhou wore analyzed with statistic methods such as regression analysis and t-Test, The results showed that if the annual average temperature increased 1 ℃ in the future, plant spring phenophase in 21aengzhou would advance by 1.6- 13.7 days.

关 键 词：春季物候 气候变化 回归 T检验 响应 

分 类 号：O655[理学—分析化学]