舰空导弹对空中目标命中概率的仿真分析  

Analysis of Hitting Probability of Ship-to-Air Missile Against Aerial Target Based on Simulation

作　　者：张中南[1] 马雷挺[1] 陈思达[1] 

机构地区：[1]海军大连舰艇学院,大连116018

出　　处：《战术导弹技术》2007年第3期86-88,共3页Tactical Missile Technology

摘　　要：在全面分析舰空导弹对空中目标射击时弹着点散布规律的基础上,给出了单发导弹命中概率的数学模型.通过对该模型进行仿真,找出了战斗部毁伤半径以及射击误差与命中概率之间的关系,得出了通过采用先进的制导系统可以有效提高舰空导弹命中概率的结论,为提高舰空导弹武器的战斗能力提供了一定的参考.Based on analyzing the scattering rules of hitting point of ship-to-air missile against aerial target, mathematic model of hitting probability of single missile is given. Through simulation, the relationships among killing radius of warhead, shooting error and hitting probability are found. The conclusion is drawn that advanced guidance system can be used to increase hitting probability of ship-to-air missile effectively. Some references are provided to improve the combat capability of ship-to-air missile weapon system.

关 键 词：舰空导弹 命中概率 仿真分析 

分 类 号：TJ762.33[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]