中国城市化的度量与发展取向——基于DEA的城市化研究  

The evaluation and development trend of Chinese urbanization by Data Envelopment Analysis

作　　者：倪晓宁[1] 包明华[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京第二外国语学院国际经贸学院 [2]中国人民大学经济学院

出　　处：《城市问题》2007年第6期28-33,共6页Urban Problems

摘　　要：城市化是适应大工业生产的结果,适度规模由工业化所需劳动人口决定。中国内部存在多重工业化水平,城市化水平因不同工业化水平和发展路径有所区别。因此应设立城市化比例指标,使其反映适度城市化水平时不受工业化水平高低影响;建立基于DEA(数据包络分析)的CCR城市化度量模型,根据地区数据进行绩效评估,寻找适宜的城市化参照标准;根据实证结果提出城市化层次发展战略,即按照实际工业化水平选择适宜参照标准,制定地区城市化发展具体目标和政策,避免不必要的指标追赶。This paper points out that urbanization is the result of industrial production and its optimal development level is decided by the labor population demanded by industrialization. Several layered industrialization level lie in China and are different from each other by industrialization level and development path. Therefore, this paper contends that： firstly, setting up urbanization proportion index to measure urbanization without influence of the size of industrialization level; secondly, setting up a new CCR urbanization evaluation model based on DEA and finding out the proper reference based on provincial data. Finally, it proposes the layered urbanization development strategy, which signifies that reference should be chosen according to the practical situation to regularize regional urban development strategy and policy.

关 键 词：城市化 工业化 城市化比例 基于CCR的城市化度量模型 城市化层次发展战略 

分 类 号：F290[经济管理—国民经济]