AREM模式预报技术在洪水预报中的应用  

Application of AREM forecast technology to flood forecast

作　　者：宋星原[1] 李允军[1] 余海燕[1] 张利平[1] 

机构地区：[1]武汉大学水资源与水电工程国家重点实验室,湖北武汉430072

出　　处：《武汉大学学报（工学版）》2007年第3期1-4,共4页Engineering Journal of Wuhan University

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(编号:50379040);国家自然科学基金项目(编号:40675070);科技部公益研究项目(编号:2005DBI3J101)

摘　　要：AREM是综合考虑中国区域的地形特点和复杂的水汽演变过程,建立的一个对中国区域暴雨有较强预报能力的暴雨数值预报模式.运用AREM模式预报的降雨过程作为预见期内的降雨,结合新安江蓄满产流模型和流域分散入流非线性汇流模型,作出考虑预见期降雨的洪水预报,并将该方法应用于湖北省白莲河流域.AREM is a heavy rainfall numerical prediction model which considered both the geography characteristics of Chinese district and the complicated water vapor evolution process; therefore it has a strong forecast ability of the rain-storm in Chinese district. This paper adopts the forecasting rainfall process of the AREM as the precipitation in forecast period, forecasts the flood processes which take the precipitation in forecast period into account with Xin＇anjiang runoff model and nonlinear conflux model. This method is applied to Bailian River basin in Hubei Province.

关 键 词：AREM 新安江模型 非线性汇流模型 

分 类 号：TV124[水利工程—水文学及水资源]